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Road transportation is very popular in Nigeria, and this has brought a corresponding increase in accidents on the road leading to high casualty rate. In light of this, this study modelled the casualties reported from accidents on roads in Lagos, a southwestern State in Nigeria from January 2005 to December, 2015. We sourced that data from the Federal Road Safety Commission (FRSC) and it showed a constant fluctuation, hence an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) of order (1,1) was fitted into the data given as
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